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US intel assesses Iran can shut down the Strait of Hormuz at will from now on

U.S. intelligence says the war gave Tehran a new lever to disrupt global trade and pressure negotiations, with shipping traffic expected to stay slow for weeks.

  • American intelligence assessments recently found that Iran can effectively shut down access to the Strait at will, granting the regime a powerful new ability to disrupt the global economy.
  • President Donald Trump's decision to initiate the conflict without accounting for Iran's willingness to close the Strait created this lasting vulnerability, according to American intelligence assessments.
  • One source familiar with the assessments told CNN, "We have now handed Iran de facto control over the strait—a weapon more powerful than any nuke," emphasizing Iran's altered strategic thinking.
  • Iran must reopen the Strait to receive agreement benefits, though Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said Monday Iran might still charge fees, contradicting Trump's toll-free passage claims.
  • If negotiations fail, Iran has plotted to engage Houthis in Yemen to close the Bab-el-Mandeb strait, creating an economic "nuclear option" for the regime if talks collapse.
Insights by Ground AI

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US intelligence agencies fear that Tehran has “discovered” itself a powerful lever of influence in the form of control over the Strait of Hormuz and may continue to use it.

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Bias Distribution

  • 75% of the sources are Center
75% Center

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Forbes broke the news in United States on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
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