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US intel assesses Iran can shut down the Strait of Hormuz at will from now on
U.S. intelligence says the war gave Tehran a new lever to disrupt global trade and pressure negotiations, with shipping traffic expected to stay slow for weeks.
American intelligence assessments recently found that Iran can effectively shut down access to the Strait at will, granting the regime a powerful new ability to disrupt the global economy.
President Donald Trump's decision to initiate the conflict without accounting for Iran's willingness to close the Strait created this lasting vulnerability, according to American intelligence assessments.
One source familiar with the assessments told CNN, "We have now handed Iran de facto control over the strait—a weapon more powerful than any nuke," emphasizing Iran's altered strategic thinking.
Iran must reopen the Strait to receive agreement benefits, though Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said Monday Iran might still charge fees, contradicting Trump's toll-free passage claims.
If negotiations fail, Iran has plotted to engage Houthis in Yemen to close the Bab-el-Mandeb strait, creating an economic "nuclear option" for the regime if talks collapse.
US intelligence agencies fear that Tehran has “discovered” itself a powerful lever of influence in the form of control over the Strait of Hormuz and may continue to use it.