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US Inflation Hits 3.7% in September, Above Forecasts

Energy costs drove the monthly gain, while core inflation also rose above expectations and kept pressure on the Federal Reserve.

  • On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported consumer prices rose 0.6% in September, pushing annual inflation to 3.7%, well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
  • Driven by the Iran war, gasoline prices jumped 9.1% in September, accounting for over half of the monthly inflation increase as oil infrastructure disruptions persisted.
  • Excluding volatile food and energy categories, core prices rose 0.3% in September and 2.6% annually, signaling persistent inflation pressure beyond fuel costs.
  • The inflation report lands weeks before the November 3 midterm elections, where affordability remains a central voter concern, creating headwinds for the administration and Republican candidates.
  • Policymakers meet October 28 to decide on interest rates, with investors pegging a nearly 25% chance of another increase and officials signaling one additional hike this year.
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Consumer prices are rising. Producer prices are also growing strongly. Trump's new inflation figures are inconvenient before the interim elections.

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Globes broke the news on Tuesday, October 13, 2026.
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