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US holiday online sales growth to slow on economic uncertainty: Adobe Analytics

Adobe projects a 5.3% rise in U.S. holiday online sales, with Cyber Monday forecasted to reach $14.2 billion amid cautious consumer spending and increased use of installment plans.

  • On Monday, Adobe Analytics projected U.S. online sales will rise 5.3 per cent to $253.4 billion between November 1 and December 31 as macroeconomic uncertainty pressures spending.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty is prompting U.S. shoppers to prioritise essentials and cut discretionary purchases amid shifting trade policies under the Trump administration and persistent inflation this year.
  • Mobile shopping will drive 56.1 per cent of online spend, while Buy Now Pay Later services add $2 billion and are expected to reach $20.2 billion, mostly via mobile devices.
  • Over the five-day Cyber Week, Adobe projects it will drive $43.7 billion or 17.2% of online holiday spending, with Cyber Monday expected at $14.2 billion, the season's largest online day.
  • Compared with the 10-year average, Adobe projects online holiday sales growth will be below roughly 13 percent, despite discounts up to 28 per cent and category demand in electronics, apparel, and furniture.
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regionalmedianews.com broke the news in on Monday, October 6, 2025.
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