US EditionBusiness Sense | So, what now?
- In the first quarter of 2025, U.S. GDP declined by 0.3%, marking its first quarterly decrease in three years.
- This downturn resulted mainly from a significant surge in imports ahead of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration to protect heavy industries.
- The Treasury Department confirmed ongoing issuance of $125 billion in bonds across various maturities and indicated it may modify its debt repurchase strategy to help maintain market liquidity.
- Following the GDP report, equities declined sharply while US Treasury yields showed a muted reaction amid weeks of elevated volatility and tariff-related market stress.
- These developments heighten concerns about a potential recession, with economists warning that ongoing tariffs may weaken domestic demand and risk stagflation.
33 Articles
33 Articles
Business Sense | So, what now?
Bear with me. This column starts out as a bummer, but it will get better … I hope. To start with the bad stuff, the economy is flat rough right now. Nationally, economic output fell in the first quarter. I’ve seen initial estimates of the decline ranging from 0.3% to 2.5%. We’re not technically in a recession yet, as that is defined by two back-to-back down quarters, but in three months it’s likely that we will be. Locally, panicked businesses j…
Real World Economics: GDP is important, but must be kept in context
Edward Lotterman The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis last week released its “advance estimate” of U.S. Gross Domestic Product for the first quarter of 2025. GDP measures the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the country over a period of time and is one of the key indicators of how an economy is performing. Despite acknowledged one-off data anomalies, it showed a very slight decline from the start of…
Cues from the US Treasury market
The US Treasuries market, which has attracted considerable attention recently, was seeking relevant cues from data released last week.On the economic front, indicators were mixed. The US economy contracted by 0.3% in Q1, the first quarter of negative GDP in three years and a worse-than-expected movement. The GDP decline was driven by a rise in...
Trump’s tariffs are trashing the economy—like everyone warned
New data released Wednesday shows that President Donald Trump's idiotic trade policy is sending the economy off the cliff. The nation’s real gross domestic product shrank 0.3% in the first three months of the year, according to data released Wednesday...
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