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Betting on elections is here to stay as US drops challenge to 'predictions' companies

  • In 2023, the CFTC withdrew its appeal challenging Kalshi, a prediction market headquartered in New York, thereby permitting the platform to legally offer contracts related to U.S. Election outcomes across the country.
  • The appeal began after the CFTC sought to block Kalshi’s election contracts, labeling them unlawful gaming and contrary to the public interest.
  • Federal courts ruled in Kalshi’s favor, rejecting the CFTC’s gaming claims and lifting delays, while Kalshi also faced but fought cease-and-desist orders from several states.
  • Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham called prediction markets an “important new frontier,” while Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour termed the appeal drop “historic” and said “election markets are here to stay.”
  • The CFTC’s withdrawal signals regulatory acceptance of election betting markets but sparks concerns about electoral integrity, market manipulation, and the agency’s capacity to oversee them.
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CNBC broke the news in United States on Monday, May 5, 2025.
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