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Treasuries Fall as Better-than-Expected Job Data Resets Fed Bets

January payrolls rose by 130,000 and unemployment fell to 4.3%, leading investors to delay Federal Reserve rate cuts until July, according to market data.

  • On Wednesday, money markets priced the Fed's next cut in July after a stronger-than-expected January jobs report spurred a selloff in Treasuries, with traders reducing bets on rate cuts this year.
  • The January employment report showed US employers added 130,000 jobs last month, the strongest payroll growth in over a year, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3% amid last year's hiring revisions.
  • Short-Dated Treasuries moved sharply as two-year Treasuries rose toward 3.5% and equities saw an early rally fade with the S&P 500 closing near 6,940 and about 300 S&P 500 shares rising.
  • Interest-Rate swaps signaled traders priced less than a 5% chance of a March cut, and analysts said the report gives Fed hawks ammunition to remain patient on easing.
  • Looking ahead to June, questions about Kevin Warsh's stance arise because if the unemployment rate is stable or lower, he may keep policy on hold, complicating rate cuts.
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Lean Left

The New York Stock Exchange ended in a slight drop on Wednesday, with a measured judgment on a better-than-expected US labour market in January, which pushes back expectations of a fall in the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate.

·Montreal, Canada
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La Presse broke the news in Montreal, Canada on Wednesday, February 11, 2026.
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