UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
The report says current national pledges would still leave the world on track for 2.6C warming, with 18% cuts needed by 2030.
- On Wednesday, the United Nations Environment Programme released its annual Emissions Gap Report 2026, finding that exceeding the Paris Climate Agreement's 1.5-degree Celsius warming target is now "imminent and unavoidable."
- Current government policies track toward about 2.8 degrees Celsius warming, with projections deteriorating since last year partly because of the United States' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
- Global greenhouse gas emissions must fall 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040 to keep warming to the lowest achievable overshoot, while coal-fired electricity generation requires a 75% reduction by 2035.
- UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres characterized the findings as a "leadership gap," asserting that "overshoot is not surrender" while urging nations to urgently implement fast, deep emissions reductions.
- With COP31 approaching next month in Antalya, Turkey, delegates face findings that returning temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius depends on large-scale carbon removal, the feasibility of which remains uncertain.
126 Articles
126 Articles
The current global climate policy is far from enough to stop climate change: if nothing changes, the UN says that the Earth is heading for 2.8 degrees of warming compared to pre-industrial times by the year 2100.
Clarin
Independent EspañolA UN report points out that the planet will warm up 1.2 degrees more than expected, with the US as the main contributor to the increase in emissions.The U.S. policy change could add a tenth degree to global warming, affecting millions and threatening key ecosystems.
Decades of insufficient emission cuts have made a significant exceedance of the 1.5°C target inevitable, concluding the UN's new report "Emissions Gap Report". The world is moving towards an average heating of 2.8°C by the end of the century and will have to cut emissions by 45% by 2035 to limit the peak and try to return to the target. Guterres says that the emission gap is now a leadership gap.
'Pull out all the stops': UN lays out path to limiting global warming
“Every additional fraction of a degree and additional year of warming above 1.5°C increases climate impacts and risks, such as the deadly floods, heatwaves and wildfires that have plagued many nations this year”.
Prema novim procjenama, globalno zagrijavanje premašit će prethodna predviđanja, pri čemu čak i najoptimističniji scenarij predviđa porast prosječne temperature za 1,7 do 1,8 stupnjeva Celzija iznad predindustrijskih razina do sredine stoljeća, pokazalo je izvješće UN-a objavljeno u srijedu. […] Objava Noveklimatske prognoze UN-a: 'Čak ni najoptimističniji scenarij više ne predviđa ostanak na 1,5 stupnjeva' pojavila se prvi puta na Novi list.
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