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UK's Reeves heading for 'impossible' choices in this year's budget, think tank says

UNITED KINGDOM, AUG 6 – Rachel Reeves faces tough choices to close a £41 billion fiscal gap by 2029-30 due to sluggish growth, higher borrowing, and welfare cut reversals, NIESR warns.

  • Amid shrinking fiscal headroom, Rachel Reeves, Chancellor of the Exchequer, faces a £41.2 billion shortfall in 2029-30, creating an “impossible trilemma” according to NIESR.
  • Last month, the UK government reversed welfare cuts, slashing £41.2bn expected savings, while higher borrowing and weak growth further eroded revenues.
  • Recent projections highlight that the United Kingdom economy is expected to grow 1.3% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026, with CPI likely to hit 3.5% in 2025 and around 3% by mid-2026, according to NIESR.
  • NIESR recommended building a 'buffer' by raising taxes, arguing this would reassure investors and help plug the gap in the Autumn Budget.
  • Looking ahead, Rachel Reeves’s self-imposed rules bar borrowing for day-to-day spending and aim to reduce debt as a share of GDP over the coming years.
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Yorkshire Evening PostYorkshire Evening Post
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With a big funding gap to fix, Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces tough choices 💷

·Leeds, United Kingdom
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Daily Express broke the news in United Kingdom on Tuesday, August 5, 2025.
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