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UAE's Gargash Sees '50-50' Odds of US-Iran Deal, Warns Against Renewed Fighting

Anwar Gargash said talks have a 50-50 chance of success and warned that a ceasefire without a wider settlement could fuel new conflict.

  • On Friday, diplomatic advisor to the United Arab Emirates President Anwar Gargash stated there is a "50-50 chance" of a U.S.-Iran peace agreement, emphasizing that any settlement must address regional root causes of instability.
  • The oil-rich UAE faced about 3,300 drones and missiles during 40 days of war from February 28 onwards, with Iran targeting infrastructure near Dubai and Abu Dhabi, prompting regional security concerns.
  • Gargash noted Iran's atomic program is now the primary regional worry, cautioning that Iranian officials often "overestimate their cards" and have "missed a lot of chances over the years" during negotiations in Prague.
  • The Strait of Hormuz must return to its pre-war status as an international waterway, Gargash argued, urging European nations to recognize the link between the strait's stability and their energy security interests.
  • Pakistan has been mediating a U.S.-Iran ceasefire to end the war disrupting global trade through the strait, though Gargash warned that a second round of military confrontation would further complicate the regional situation.
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24 Articles

Suddenly, positive signals are emerging – from both sides. Even the US president has commented on the status of the negotiations. Iran news on the blog.

·Berlin, Germany
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Lean Left

Rubio: "Living progress in the peace talks with Tehran, it's positive. But we need to start thinking about Plan B if they don't reopen Hormuz. Emirates: "The possibility of reaching an agreement is 50 and 50" Nyt: Iran discusses with Oman the system of tariffs for the Strait of Hormuz

·Turin, Italy
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ReutersReuters
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

UAE's Gargash sees '50-50' odds of US-Iran deal, warns against renewed fighting

·United Kingdom
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Gulf News broke the news in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (the) on Friday, May 22, 2026.
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