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UAE's Gargash Sees '50-50' Odds of US-Iran Deal, Warns Against Renewed Fighting
Anwar Gargash said talks have a 50-50 chance of success and warned that a ceasefire without a wider settlement could fuel new conflict.
On Friday, diplomatic advisor to the United Arab Emirates President Anwar Gargash stated there is a "50-50 chance" of a U.S.-Iran peace agreement, emphasizing that any settlement must address regional root causes of instability.
The oil-rich UAE faced about 3,300 drones and missiles during 40 days of war from February 28 onwards, with Iran targeting infrastructure near Dubai and Abu Dhabi, prompting regional security concerns.
Gargash noted Iran's atomic program is now the primary regional worry, cautioning that Iranian officials often "overestimate their cards" and have "missed a lot of chances over the years" during negotiations in Prague.
The Strait of Hormuz must return to its pre-war status as an international waterway, Gargash argued, urging European nations to recognize the link between the strait's stability and their energy security interests.
Pakistan has been mediating a U.S.-Iran ceasefire to end the war disrupting global trade through the strait, though Gargash warned that a second round of military confrontation would further complicate the regional situation.
Suddenly, positive signals are emerging – from both sides. Even the US president has commented on the status of the negotiations. Iran news on the blog.
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