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Trump immigration policies and a lower fertility rate slow US growth projection, budget office says

The CBO forecasts natural population growth to end by 2030 and projects U.S. population will grow by only 15 million by 2056, down 2.2% from last year’s estimate.

  • On Wednesday, the Congressional Budget Office projected U.S. population will grow by 15 million in 30 years, reaching 364 million, due to policies and demographic trends.
  • Citing causes, the Congressional Budget Office said the administration's aggressive effort to cut illegal immigration and declining fertility rates, including fewer births from foreign-born women, slow U.S. population growth.
  • The administration has funded and expanded enforcement by deploying Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents, imposing visa bans, and using roughly $150 billion from Trump's tax and spending law to support deportations, with CBO estimating roughly 320,000 removals over 10 years.
  • The CBO warned that smaller-than-expected population growth will increase pressure on Social Security and Medicare with fewer people in the U.S. labor force paying taxes.
  • Looking ahead, the Congressional Budget Office projects U.S. population growth will stop in 2056, demographers warn the shift is a lasting shock, and analysts emphasize uncertainty in forecasts.
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Wall Street JournalWall Street Journal
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U.S. Population Growth Is Projected to Slow Further

·New York, United States
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Associated Press NewsAssociated Press News
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Lean Left

Trump immigration policies and aging population slow US growth projection, budget office says

The U.S. population is projected to grow more slowly over the next 30 years than previously predicted.

·United States
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KARE broke the news in Minneapolis, United States on Wednesday, January 7, 2026.
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