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Another Shutdown in February? Predictions, Odds as DHS Bill Looms

Senate Democrats link DHS funding extension to immigration reforms following two deaths by federal agents, with a Feb. 13 deadline and over 700 agents redeployed in Minnesota.

  • With nine days until Feb. 13, 2026, Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries said they won't extend DHS funding without major reforms.
  • Democrats say the impasse stems from reforms advertised last week and planned for reveal Thursday, including ending roving patrols, tightening warrants, use-of-force changes, and banning detaining U.S. citizens.
  • Amid the list of reforms, Senate Republicans say Sen. Katie Britt will lead talks, and DHS Secretary Kristi Noem said body cameras will be instituted nationwide; Jeffries called mask removal a 'hard red line' on Tuesday.
  • Lawmakers warn that a lapse would disrupt Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Border Patrol, the Coast Guard, and could trigger TSA and FEMA furloughs amid severe winter weather, while House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole said a short-term DHS extension is likely and Democrats hold some leverage.
  • With the Feb. 13, 2026 deadline looming, Kalshi gives a 38% chance of a DHS vote before March 1, 2026, and Polymarket shows $222,000 in trades as shutdown odds rise.
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The News Journal broke the news in New Castle, United States on Wednesday, February 4, 2026.
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