UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
The UN says current pledges would still leave the world on track for 2.6C warming, with only a 50% chance of returning to 1.5C by 2100.
- On Wednesday, the United Nations Environment Programme released its annual Emissions Gap Report 2026, finding that exceeding the Paris Climate Agreement's 1.5-degree Celsius warming target is now "imminent and unavoidable."
- Current government policies track toward about 2.8 degrees Celsius warming, with projections deteriorating since last year partly because of the United States' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
- Global greenhouse gas emissions must fall 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040 to keep warming to the lowest achievable overshoot, while coal-fired electricity generation requires a 75% reduction by 2035.
- UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres characterized the findings as a "leadership gap," asserting that "overshoot is not surrender" while urging nations to urgently implement fast, deep emissions reductions.
- With COP31 approaching next month in Antalya, Turkey, delegates face findings that returning temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius depends on large-scale carbon removal, the feasibility of which remains uncertain.
192 Articles
192 Articles
The new report of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) admits that global warming will exceed 1.5 °C, but argues that rapid emission cuts can still limit excess and bring the temperature back to that value by 2100. UNEP released, this Wednesday, the report "Emissions Gap Report 2026: The [...]
The limit of 1.5 degrees of warming agreed upon in Paris is out of sight. To achieve the ‘second-best’ scenario of a maximum of 1.7 to 1.8 degrees of warming by 2050, drastically more climate measures must be taken.
According to the UN report, the 1.5°C target of the Paris Agreement can no longer be met, but a more favourable scenario is still possible, provided emissions are reduced drastically and immediately. - According to the UN, the world is moving towards a 2.6°C warming but must not "let down" (Environment).
The United Nations, in a new report, stated that it was no longer possible to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius and that, under current commitments, the world was moving to a temperature increase of 2.8 degrees by the end of the century. In a new report, Emissions Gap, the United Nations had concluded that the goal of keeping global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels was no longer achievable, and the current emi…
The 2015 Paris Agreement set the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C. But this is no longer a realistic scenario because the planet is heading towards 2.8°C by the end of the century, as warned in the report on the emissions gap by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
The World Is Headed for a Heating of 2.8°C "There Is More Time, but the Window of Opportunity Closes
Global commitments to limit global warming remain largely insufficient and place the world on a 2.6-degree Celsius heating trajectory (perhaps even 2.8-degree) over this century, warned Wednesday...
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