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World Economy Faces ‘Pivotal Moment’, Central Bank Body BIS Says

  • The BIS warns of an epochal global economic reboot, likened to a 'hardware refit,' amid rising trade tensions and geopolitical fractures before the July 9 U.S. tariff deadline.
  • Outgoing BIS head Agustín Carstens highlighted U.S.-driven trade tensions, rising public debt, and geopolitical shifts as key factors fraying the global economic order.
  • BIS analysis shows OECD interest payments reached 4% of GDP last year, with sovereign bond stress risking inflation and stability, Hyun Song Shin warned of 'once bitten, twice shy' risks.
  • Following this, the dollar has fallen 10% this year, amid market angst and U.S. economic challenges, forcing the Fed to navigate conflicting inflation and slowdown pressures.
  • Beyond these risks, the BIS warns that capitalism’s operating system needs a major upgrade as right-wing populism and economic nationalism threaten regressive modernization and global stability.
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The Atlantic broke the news in Washington, United States on Saturday, June 28, 2025.
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