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Atlantic Remains Quiet, Could Enter Record Territory for Latest First Hurricane

Forecasters say only 5 named storms so far and El Niño-driven wind shear could push the first Atlantic hurricane past the Sept. 11 record.

  • The Atlantic hurricane season could set a record for the latest first hurricane if none forms by Friday, September 11, breaking the mark set by Hurricane Gustav in 2002 and Hurricane Humberto in 2013.
  • Persistent Saharan dust combined with strong wind shear across the Atlantic Basin is suppressing tropical development, keeping the season unusually quiet with only 5 named storms so far: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly and Edouard.
  • Forecasters expect tropical activity to remain subdued for the next seven days, even as the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season arrives on Thursday September 10.
  • While the Atlantic remains quiet, the Pacific Basin is active with Hurricane Lowell generating 115 mph winds and Tropical Storm Marie packing 65 mph winds, creating a stark contrast in seasonal activity.
  • Rare seasons with no hurricanes occurred in 1907 and 1914, though the NHC notes most Atlantic activity typically occurs between mid-August and mid-October, leaving room for late-season development.
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BAE Negocios broke the news on Sunday, September 6, 2026.
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