US EditionThe incumbency factor • Inside Story
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The incumbency factor • Inside Story
It’s accepted wisdom that incumbency counts in individual seats and forfeiting it has a cost. What’s less easy to quantify is precisely how much of a retiring MP’s margin is personal and exits with them. A good incumbent can be worth up to 3 per cent extra in city seats and double that in the regions, some experts venture, with potential subtractions of the same when they go. Others say it’s too dependent on the individual to offer a guesstimate…
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