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Poll Shows Swalwell and Porter Leading Democratic Field in California Governor’s Race

A recent Emerson College poll shows Republicans Chad Bianco and Steve Hilton leading overall, while Democrats Swalwell and Porter split 37% support with 31% undecided.

  • This past week, an Emerson College/Inside California Politics survey found Chad Bianco at 13%, Steve Hilton 12%, Eric Swalwell 12%, Katie Porter 11%, with 31% undecided.
  • Swalwell's Nov. 20 launch on "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" scrambled Democrats, with polls showing increased support for Porter and shifts since the October survey, according to Emerson College Polling.
  • The survey sampled 1,000 active registered voters, with n=567 Democrats and n=339 Republicans, showing unfamiliarity: Swalwell 24% favorable, 53% unsure; Porter 30% favorable, 37% unsure.
  • With Newsom's standing at mid-40s approval, voters are split 33%/33%/35% on his endorsement influence, while 51% say Governor Gavin Newsom is most responsible for the economy.
  • Independents remain highly undecided, with 45% uncertain, while 34% of California voters prioritize the economy and 25% focus on housing affordability ahead of the June 2026 top-two primary.
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Bias Distribution

  • 53% of the sources are Center
53% Center

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emersoncollegepolling.com broke the news in on Thursday, December 4, 2025.
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