The screen between us: Smartphones and the global fertility crash
The analysis says the decline is concentrated among teens, while fertility among women 25 and older shows no typical country response.
- University of Cincinnati researchers Nathan Hudson and Hernan Moscoso-Boedo found that birth rates fell sharply in regions where 4G networks arrived first, with declines hitting hardest in the US and UK.
- The decline coincides with a collapse in teen in-person socializing, which dropped 44% from 68 to 38 minutes daily between 2003 and 2019, as digital platforms shifted peer interaction online.
- Teen fertility collapsed by about 71 percent since 2007, while Hudson and Moscoso-Boedo caution that "whatever the smartphone shock is doing to fertility, it is doing to teens." The 25+ population shows no such response.
- Similar synchronized declines appear globally, from Mexico to Indonesia, regardless of local economic conditions. EU population is projected to shrink by about 53 million people over 75 years, signaling long-term demographic strain.
- Economists like Melissa Kearney note that housing affordability and economic instability remain critical variables alongside technology. Experts caution that attributing fertility decline solely to smartphones oversimplifies complex demographic drivers including norms and economics.
35 Articles
35 Articles
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Why birth rates are falling everywhere all at once
Why birth rates are falling everywhere all at once
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