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Poll Shows Tightening Statewide Races in Virginia

A new VCU Wilder School Commonwealth Poll shows Spanberger leads 49% to 42% with nearly 90% of Democrats backing her amid a tightening race.

  • A new VCU Wilder School Commonwealth Poll released this week shows Abigail Spanberger leading Winsome Earle-Sears 49% to 42%, narrowing from a 9-point lead in September to seven points now.
  • Former U.S. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg headlined a rally to mobilize volunteers, while revelations about Jay Jones's 2022 texts reshaped the attorney general contest.
  • Among independent voters, Spanberger leads 35% to 24%, with 20% undecided, while nearly nine in 10 Democrats and a similar share of Republicans consolidate behind their bases.
  • Both sides say turnout will decide the outcome, analysts still classify the governor's race as a likely Spanberger victory, and the attorney general race remains a toss-up that could decide which party leads.
  • As the campaign enters the final stretch before Nov. 4, former President Barack Obama launched a TV ad for Abigail Spanberger and will join her Norfolk campaign stop on Nov. 1.
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  • 67% of the sources are Center
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13 News Now broke the news in Norfolk, United States on Tuesday, October 21, 2025.
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