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One Nation Trumps Labor: A Populist Surge in Australian Politics

  • According to a Redbridge Group poll published on Monday, One Nation has overtaken Labor and the Coalition as Australia's most popular party with 31% of the primary vote.
  • A record 63% of voters believe Australia is heading in the wrong direction, fueling anti-establishment sentiment as Redbridge director Tony Barry said the federal budget rejection is driving the surge.
  • Labor's primary vote fell three points to 28% while the Coalition dipped to 20%, though Labor maintains a 51% to 49% two-party-preferred lead over One Nation.
  • On Sunday, One Nation Leader Pauline Hanson expressed confidence in her team's ability to govern and said she is considering moving to the lower house at the next election.
  • While 9News political editor Charles Croucher noted polls do not directly translate into votes, the trend suggests a potential two- or three-party coalition government could emerge if One Nation wins enough seats.
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In Australia, the far-right populist One Nation, known for its anti-immigration policies, has become the most popular party, according to the latest opinion poll, coming in at the top for the first time ahead of the ruling Labor Party.

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  • 46% of the sources lean Left
46% Left

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Australian Financial Review broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Sunday, May 31, 2026.
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