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U.S. oil production has likely peaked and will start to decline due to price plunge, Diamondback CEO warns

  • On May 8, 2025, Diamondback Energy CEO Travis Stice indicated that domestic onshore oil output has probably reached its highest level and is expected to begin declining this quarter in the Permian Basin, Texas.
  • This outlook follows a 15% drop in fracking crews nationwide and a 20% decline in Permian Basin crews, driven by a 17% crude price fall and tariff-related cost pressures.
  • Diamondback, a major independent operator in the Permian Basin, has reduced its capital expenditure by $400 million, scaled back its operations by removing three drilling rigs and a single completion team, and plans to maintain these reduced activity levels through most of the third quarter of 2025.
  • Stice explained that the company is slowing its pace of activity as economic uncertainty and declining oil prices impact the industry, likening the situation to easing off the gas pedal when nearing a stop signal.
  • This production decline threatens the U.S.'s status as the world’s largest fossil fuel producer and raises energy security concerns if prices do not stabilize soon.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Monday, May 5, 2025.
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