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Democrats Hold 11-Point Lead over GOP on Congressional Ballot: Poll
The poll found 41% of voters most concerned about the economy, while 71% said they are very excited to vote.
An Emerson College Polling national survey released 40 days before the 2026 Midterm Elections shows congressional Democrats leading Republicans by 11 points, 53% to 42%, matching the series high first reached in July.
Forty-One percent of voters identify the economy as their leading concern, and those prioritizing economic issues now favor the Democratic candidate 55% to 41%, a reversal from 2024 when such voters backed Republicans.
President Donald Trump holds a 39% approval rating and 58% disapproval, while independent and Hispanic voters—who backed Trump in 2024—now favor Democrats by 60% to 31% and 64% to 31%, respectively.
DNC spokesperson Kendall Witmer argued the findings reflect Democratic momentum, stating, "Democrats' laser focus on fighting for working families has triumphed." Seventy-one percent of voters report being "very" excited to vote.
Whether this Democratic advantage survives the final 40 days depends on turnout and local candidate performance. The Emerson College Polling survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted September 21-22, carries a credibility interval of plus or minus 3 percent.