Scientists Warn Sun-Dimming Efforts Could Trigger Chaos
Two-thirds of climate scientists expect solar geoengineering to be deployed before 2100 due to insufficient emission cuts and escalating climate change impacts, survey finds.
- New Scientist's survey of nearly 800 IPCC-contributing researchers found two-thirds expect large-scale solar geoengineering attempts before 2100, amid climate risks and governance concerns.
- Citing failed emissions cuts and rising impacts, experts say worsening global greenhouse gas emissions and climate effects push solar radiation modification toward consideration, Daniele Visioni and Shaun Fitzgerald note.
- Scientists describe methods such as stratospheric aerosol injection, marine cloud brightening and cirrus cloud thinning, warning of harms like ozone damage and up to 20 percent monsoon rainfall reduction.
- More than half of respondents flagged governance shortfalls as they warn deployment could be driven by a 'rogue actor' such as a private company, billionaire or nation state, with 20 percent opposing outdoor trials.
- Earlier this year the UK government provided £57 million via ARIA for solar geoengineering research, while philanthropic and investor funding expands, as the global research community seeks real-world data.
17 Articles
17 Articles


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