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Why experts say we aren’t in a recession, despite economic uncertainty

  • Experts debate whether the U.S. Is currently in a recession despite economic uncertainty in early 2025.
  • An official determination of a recession is made by a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that defines it as a broad and substantial downturn in economic activity lasting more than a few months, though current economic indicators may send conflicting signals.
  • Key indicators include a 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025, steady but slowing job growth, rising mortgage rates peaking at 7.04%, and falling consumer confidence.
  • On April 29, Stephanie Guichard highlighted that consumer sentiment has decreased for five months in a row, reaching its lowest point since the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis.
  • Although trade tensions and tariff policies have increased recession risk, current data and Federal Reserve reports suggest the economy remains on a cautious, unstable path without a confirmed recession.
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Bias Distribution

  • 73% of the sources are Center
73% Center
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El Porvenir broke the news in on Saturday, May 10, 2025.
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