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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026

Summary by Eurasia
Toplines Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours. The Ukrainian Air Force warned on June 12 that there is a “high probability” that Russian forces will launch an unspecified IRBM from the Kapustin Yar missile launch site in Astrakhan Oblast within the next day.[1] Ukrainian outlet RBK Ukraine reported on June 12, citing an informed source in the Ukrainian government,…
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Eurasia broke the news on Tuesday, June 16, 2026.
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