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Russia-Ukraine War Casualties Near 2 Million, CSIS Study Finds

The Center for Strategic and International Studies projects combined Russian and Ukrainian military casualties could reach two million by spring 2026 amid slow Russian advances.

  • On Jan 27, the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington published a study finding nearly two million military casualties combined for Russia and Ukraine, projecting this could reach two million by the spring of 2026.
  • CSIS authors said Russia sustained troop levels through mobilization measures and faced higher risks from tactical shifts favoring small-unit operations due to drones, while reports indicated 15,000 North Korean troops fought alongside Russian forces.
  • Breaking down casualties, CSIS found nearly 1.2 million Russian troops and close to 600,000 Ukrainian troops were killed, wounded, or missing, with 100,000 to 140,000 Ukrainian killed from February 2022 to December 2025.
  • No major power has suffered anywhere near these casualty numbers since World War II, CSIS said, while trilateral talks ended Saturday and Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said they would resume next week.
  • Rising monthly losses with roughly 415,000 Russian deaths and injuries in 2025 averaging nearly 35,000 per month strain replenishment and complicate peace talks.
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The news of Wednesday 28 January on the conflict in Ukraine. Moscow: 18 Ukrainian drones shot down in the Russian skies

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Al Jazeera broke the news in Qatar on Thursday, January 8, 2026.
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