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Russia Eyes Budget Cuts as Sliding Oil Prices Drive Deficit Upward

  • On May 7, 2025, Russia faces rising budget deficits as oil prices slump below the federal budget forecast amid ongoing economic decline and war expenditures.
  • The drop in oil prices, caused by global production increases and trade disruptions, has lowered revenue, pressuring Russia to reconsider its $60 per barrel budget rule.
  • Industrial production weaknesses and reduced oil revenues have led to a possible 0.3% economic contraction in early 2025 despite some late 2024 growth.
  • The Finance Ministry now projects a 3.8 trillion ruble deficit in 2025, with oil revenue down 2.6 trillion rubles, and a potential spending cut between 1.5 and 1.6 trillion rubles.
  • Due to depleted reserves and a high military budget, Russia may cut civilian programs and revise budget mechanisms, as crude prices are expected to remain low for years.
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El Huffington Post broke the news in Madrid, Spain on Monday, May 5, 2025.
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