Super El Niño Increasingly Likely, Could Be Record Strong
Forecasters say central Pacific waters are warming fast, with NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts warning of one of the strongest events on record.
- New forecasts from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts released Monday show rising odds of a "Super El Niño" emerging as sea surface temperatures have "expanded across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean" since mid-April.
- A "Super El Niño" is defined by Pacific water temperatures at least 2 degrees Celsius above average, a threshold that could make this occurrence one of the most powerful ever recorded.
- The European Centre predicts sea surface temperatures in the central Pacific could reach 3 degrees Celsius above average by fall, surpassing the threshold for such a phenomenon.
- Historical data from 2015 shows these events trigger severe drought in Ethiopia and intensify tropical cyclone activity, resulting in 16 cyclones in the Pacific basin, including three Category 4 storms.
- Scientists warn that if this event persists into next year, global temperatures in 2027 could spike to record-breaking highs, further amplifying warming trends associated with human-induced climate change.
17 Articles
17 Articles
'Super El Niño' Could Fuel Dangerous Weather, Extreme Heat and Flood Risks Across Multiple Continents
Forecasters are raising alarms over the possible emergence of a 'Super El Niño' later this year, warning that the powerful climate pattern could trigger record-breaking heat, catastrophic flooding, severe droughts and dangerous storms across several continents. Climate agencies and researchers say Pacific Ocean temperatures are rising quickly, strengthening El Niño conditions. Some models suggest it could become as strong as the most powerful ev…
A rare ‘monster’ El Niño could emerge this summer. Here’s what that means for New England. - The Boston Globe
Climate models indicate a strong likelihood El Niño conditions will develop this summer and intensify into a rare super-powerful climate event later this year, the first in over a century.
The Super El Niño phenomenon that is foreseen for this 2026 begins in May and could reach its maximum intensity between September and October, reaching an anomaly of up to 3.3 degrees.El Niño is a climate cycle characterized by anomalous warming of the surface water of the equatorial Pacific Ocean that causes drastic changes in the world climate.According to the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), it will be the central-north region…
Fiery map shows 'extreme' El Niño hurtling into US as millions on heat alert
A strong El Niño weather pattern is forming and could have 'extreme' impacts in 2026, according to meteorologists who say a 'boiling red' map highlights the potential for record-breaking global heat and major weather disruptions across the US and beyond
Amid the significant burden of rising oil prices due to the war with Iran, another adverse factor is emerging from the Pacific. Forecasts have followed that El Niño is forming in the Pacific this summer and could escalate into a "Super El Niño" by the end of the year, the strongest in over 160 years since the 1870s. As is widely known, El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon in which sea surface temperatures in the center of the Pacific Ocean ri…
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