Suspicious Bets Made Before Poll Release

Suspicious bets made before poll release

Suspicious prediction market activity seen before election poll release, report says

Polymarket Probes Bets Placed Before NYT/Siena Polls

Polymarket is investigating a series of unusually well-timed political bets placed shortly before two New York Times/Siena College polls were published, after Vanderbilt University researchers flagged trading patterns that they said warranted further examination.The most prominent trade involved roughly $191,000 wagered on October 31 on Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts winning re-election. About an hour later, a Times/Siena poll was released showi…

Suspicious prediction market activity seen before election poll release: NYT

Bets were placed shortly before two recent New York Times/Siena political polls were released to the public, according to a report.

NYT Reports Unusual Prediction Market Trades Before Poll Release

Prediction markets have once again come under scrutiny after researchers reported that unusually large trades appear to have landed just before major political polling results were published. The findings, attributed to Vanderbilt University researchers, center on betting activity on Polymarket tied to a New York Times/Siena poll about Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts. According to the [...]

Researchers Identify Suspicious Activity on Kalshi and Polymarket Before Times/Siena Poll Release

A trader placed well-timed bets on Polymarket and Kalshi in two Senate races. It was unclear if the person had access to inside information or simply made good trades.