US EditionReform UK to be Scotland’s second largest party at Holyrood, poll suggests
- A new poll conducted by True North Advisors in early May 2025 suggests Reform UK may become Scotland’s second largest party at the 2026 Holyrood election, with the SNP remaining largest.
- This increase comes as Reform UK builds on its strong performance in recent local elections across England, contributing to the division of the unionist vote and thereby diminishing support for both Labour and the Conservatives in Scotland.
- The poll projects the SNP with 58 MSPs, Reform UK with 21, Labour 18, Conservatives 13, Lib Dems 10, and Greens 8, showing Reform slightly ahead of Labour as main opposition.
- Polling expert John Curtice noted Reform’s growth threatens both Labour and Conservatives, with over 25% of Conservative voters and nearly 20% of Labour voters switching to Reform.
- The results imply continued unionist vote splitting could ease a pro-independence majority at Holyrood, while Reform’s rise signals significant shifts in Scottish politics ahead of May 2026.
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Working with Reform UK – What Clues Are Out There? - Downtown in Business
There has been a lot written about how terrible labour did and the conservative collapse but Reform are here, won the vote and will be in charge for a while... Martin Liptrot explains how we have got to 'get on with it', and looks to the U.S. for how the freshly-minted Reform UK council leaders might go about their new roles.
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Leaning Left4Leaning Right1Center1Last UpdatedBias Distribution67% Left
Bias Distribution
- 67% of the sources lean Left
67% Left
L 67%
C 17%
R 17%
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