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Reform UK to be Scotland’s second largest party at Holyrood, poll suggests
- A new poll conducted by True North Advisors in early May 2025 suggests Reform UK may become Scotland’s second largest party at the 2026 Holyrood election, with the SNP remaining largest.
- This increase comes as Reform UK builds on its strong performance in recent local elections across England, contributing to the division of the unionist vote and thereby diminishing support for both Labour and the Conservatives in Scotland.
- The poll projects the SNP with 58 MSPs, Reform UK with 21, Labour 18, Conservatives 13, Lib Dems 10, and Greens 8, showing Reform slightly ahead of Labour as main opposition.
- Polling expert John Curtice noted Reform’s growth threatens both Labour and Conservatives, with over 25% of Conservative voters and nearly 20% of Labour voters switching to Reform.
- The results imply continued unionist vote splitting could ease a pro-independence majority at Holyrood, while Reform’s rise signals significant shifts in Scottish politics ahead of May 2026.
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Reform UK Has 13-Point Lead in New Poll
If a UK general election were held today, Reform UK would win 33% of the vote, according to a poll from FindOutNow. The pollster put Farage’s party 13 points ahead of the governing Labour Party, who would win 20%. The main opposition Conservatives would collapse to just 16%, only one point ahead of the Liberal Democrats.Westminster Voting Intention:RFM: 33% (+4)LAB: 20% (-1)CON: 16% (-3)LDM: 15% (+2)GRN: 11% (=)Via @FindoutnowUK, 7 May.Changes w…
Coverage Details
Total News Sources14
Leaning Left5Leaning Right4Center2Last UpdatedBias Distribution46% Left
Bias Distribution
- 46% of the sources lean Left
46% Left
L 46%
C 18%
R 36%
Factuality
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