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'Real possibility' May elections could lead to break up of UK, says Wales' First Minister Eluned Morgan

Eluned Morgan urges reform of the Barnett formula and transfer of key powers to Wales to prevent UK breakup amid rising pro-independence support, polls show Plaid Cymru leading.

  • On Thursday, Eluned Morgan, First Minister of Wales and Welsh Labour leader, called for a new chapter of devolution and a fair share of UK funding for rail, research and investment at the Institute for Government, London.
  • Brexit has, Morgan says, created a "whole new constitutional landscape" that damages the devolution settlement, while the Internal Market Act and Westminster actions have overridden devolved governments and she urges reform of the Barnett formula.
  • Morgan proposed creating an independent adjudicator for financial fairness, a Constitutional Reform Act requiring Westminster's approval on devolved matters, and devolved control of policing, rail, youth justice, probation, and Crown Estate.
  • Cardiff University polling suggests Plaid Cymru and the Greens could win 56 seats, and Baroness Eluned Morgan warned `I think there's a real possibility of that` fragmentation in the May elections.
  • Ministers pointed to investment and a budget settlement while critics said Plaid Cymru, the Greens and Welsh Conservatives accused Labour of blocking change and called the focus 'constitutional navel gazing'.
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360 broke the news in on Thursday, January 22, 2026.
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