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Brazil Runoff Sunday: Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro Tied 50-50

Summary by hngn.com
Brazil picks a president Sunday. Flávio Bolsonaro won the first round by under two points; final Datafolha and Quaest polls show a statistical tie with Lula.

12 Articles

Left

In the run-off election on Sunday, left-wing incumbent Lula wants to make up for his delay from the first round against the ultra-right Flávio Bolsonaro.

·Berlin, Germany
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Left

The penultimate survey of the institute indicated a tie: 50% for the petist, 50% for the PL candidate

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Lean Right

The research points to a technical tie with an advantage for the PL candidate, but the latest rounds of Quaest and Datafolha indicate that the difference for the petist fell.

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Flávio Bolsonaro, the surprise winner of the first round, and veteran president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are neck and neck, within the margin of error, heading into Sunday's decisive second round.

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Bias Distribution

  • 40% of the sources lean Left, 40% of the sources are Center
40% Center

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Agenda do Poder broke the news on Friday, October 23, 2026.
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