Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula about even ahead of Brazil election runoff, CNT/MDA poll shows
The latest survey shows only 2% of voters undecided, leaving turnout and late shifts likely to decide the runoff.
- On Thursday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tied at 50% of valid votes ahead of the October 25 runoff election.
- Datafolha's latest survey indicates a tightening race, as Flávio Bolsonaro's previous 51% lead has eroded to a tie within a week after he led Lula in the first-round vote earlier this month.
- In raw totals, Bolsonaro received 47% and Lula 46%, with 5% of respondents intending to cast blank or null votes and 2% remaining undecided, the poll showed.
- Voters will decide the presidency on Sunday, October 25, when the winner assumes office for a four-year term in a race that remains a statistical tie.
- Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Bolsonaro a 78% and 79% chance of winning, respectively, as of Thursday evening, contrasting with the polling dead heat.
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São Paulo, Oct 24 (EFE).- Brazil, the largest economy in Latin America, is playing its future this Sunday in the second round of the presidential elections, in which will be measured the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the opposition senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Almost 159 million Brazilians are called to the polls to elect the next head of state, who will assume power on January 5, 2027. The voting centers will be open for nine hours, from…
The candidates for the presidency of Brazil, Flavio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who seeks his fourth term, arrive technically tied to the second round of the elections this Sunday. The leader of the radical right and the leader of the Brazilian left will contest the vote in the most contested vote in national history, fighting especially for 48 million votes, which is the sum of the abstentionists, null and indecisive of the first r…
The survey is based on 3,000 face-to-face interviews conducted on Friday 23
A poll by Datafolha Institute published on Thursday showed a tie, with 50% voting intention for each one. Two weeks ago, Flávio Bolsonaro beat Lula by four points.
Observador
Correio da ManhãFlávio Bolsonaro achieved a two-percentage advantage over Lula da Silva in the first round and profiled as a favorite in the final race of the Sunday election campaign.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 43% of the sources lean Right
Factuality
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