Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa

Climate change could cause more than 500,000 malaria deaths in Africa by 2050

New research published today in Nature warns climate change could substantially increase malaria burden in Africa over the coming decades. The study projects that a middle-of-the-road climate scenario could trigger more than 500,000 additional malaria deaths and over 100 million additional cases by 2050, including substantial impacts on children, predominantly due to damage and disruption caused by extreme weather events that undermine disease c…

Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa

The implications of climate change for malaria eradication this century remain poorly resolved1,2. Many studies focus on parasite and vector ecology in isolation, neglecting the interactions between climate, malaria control and the socioeconomic environment, including disruption from extreme weather3,4. Here we integrate 25 years of African data on climate, malaria burden and control, socioeconomic factors, and extreme weather. Using a geotempor…

Climate change could cause more than 500,000 malaria deaths in Africa