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Japan’s Wholesale Inflation Remains Elevated, Keeps Alive BOJ Rate-Hike View
On Tuesday, Bank of Japan data showed Japanese wholesale prices rose 6.8% in the year to September, slowing from a 7.6% gain in August but sustaining inflationary pressure.
The yen-based import price index surged 24.5% in September, driven by currency weakness and elevated crude oil costs from Middle East conflict uncertainty, compounding pressure on Japanese firms.
Masato Koike, a senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus, said "Wholesale inflation will likely re-accelerate given strong uncertainty over the Middle East conflict." Agricultural costs fell 13.3%, while non-ferrous metals rose 40.2% and plastic products increased 12.8%.
The Bank of Japan raised its key rate to a 31-year high last month, signaling focus on preventing inflation from overshooting its target. Board members will scrutinize these wholesale price trends at their October policy meeting.
Traders widely expect another interest rate hike by January, with many anticipating a move as soon as December. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized that future decisions hinge on whether wholesale price increases spread to consumer inflation.
The growth rate of the index showing the price of goods traded between companies fell below 7% for the first time in four months, due in part to the decline in rice prices. The Bank of Japan announced that the corporate goods price index for September rose 6.8% compared to the same month last year. This increase was 0.8 percentage points smaller than in August, and the factors cited included a 13.3% decline in "agricultural, forestry, and fisher…
(Teleborsa) - Slow production prices in Japan in September 2026. According to the Bank of Japan, factory prices have increased by 6.8% on an annual basis, less than +7.6%...