President Trump predicts change of power in Cuba within 2.5 years
Trump said Cuba is not going to last much longer, as Polymarket prices Miguel Díaz-Canel’s exit at 8.0% by year-end.
- On Saturday, October 31, President Donald Trump predicted Cuba's government is "not going to last much longer," forecasting regime change within two and a half years during a video interview recorded in Florida.
- Years of U.S. sanctions and a 2026 oil blockade have compounded fuel shortages, while rolling blackouts lasting more than 24 hours have exacerbated economic mismanagement across Cuba's collapsing economy.
- Federal authorities indicted former President Raúl Castro in May 2026 for a 1996 plane shootdown killing four people, while Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier issued a separate state arrest warrant on October 19.
- Secretary of State Marco Rubio advocates for a "discreet partnership with the CIA" to encourage change, pursuing a long-term strategy of pressure rather than immediate regime collapse.
- Experts like Christopher Hernandez-Roy note that unlike Venezuela, Cuba's entrenched one-party state faces structural barriers to collapse, with Polymarket pricing regime change by December 31 at only 8.0%.
6 Articles
6 Articles
U.S. President Donald Trump promised yesterday that the situation in Cuba will change over the next two and a half years remaining from his term and warned that there are “zero percent” of possibilities for the Castro family to remain at the head of the Caribbean island.
Trump said that the situation in Cuba will change before the end of his term
Trump said that the situation in Cuba will change before the end of his term.According to the head of the White House, the current state of affairs on the island "will not last long," and the United States may pay attention to it after the situation...
Donald Trump anticipated the fall of the current Cuban system within two and a half years, or even earlier, in statements made in Florida, although he did not formally announce a military intervention on the island. The US president stated that the regime “will not last much longer” and noted that the Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, monitors the situation because of its Cuban roots. Trump linked the situation in Cuba with his government’s strat…
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