Prediction market traders place odds of government shutting down at 80%

Government Shutdown Odds Rise From 10% To 79%: Prediction Markets Confirm Jeremy Siegel's Warning Of A Sudden Closure Threat - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ARCA:SPY)

Prediction markets confirm Jeremy Siegel's warning as government shutdown odds hit 79%, threatening to impede market momentum.

Prediction market traders place odds of government shutting down at 80%

Traders on prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting that the federal government will shut down this weekend.According to Kalshi’s market data, traders assign a 75% chance that the shutdown begins on Saturday, up 64 percentage points over the last two days. Trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on the market, stands at just over $8.6 million.SENATE DEMOCRATS THREATEN SHUTDOWN BY BLOCKING DHS FUNDING AFTER MINNESOTA ICE …

Shutdown odds soar as seething Democrats unite to withhold border cash from ICE

Traders on top predictions markets Kalshi and Polymarket seem to be dead set on the possibility of the US government shutting down by the end of the week.

US Government Shutdown Watch: Shutdown Odds Rising - ActionForex

The odds of a government shutdown starting on January 31 have risen sharply. The deal that was struck in November to end the record 43-day shutdown resulted in a continuing resolution extending government funding for most federal agencies (accounting for ~90% of annual discretionary spending) through January 30. That bill provided full-year appropriations for three of the 12 annual appropriation bills (Agriculture, Military Construction and Vete…

AI picks 3 assets to buy if U.S. government shuts down this week

Markets are increasingly bracing for another U.S. federal government shutdown as the January 30 funding deadline approaches with no clear agreement in place. To this end, prediction markets are currently pricing in an approximately 82% probability that the government will shut down by January 31, a sharp increase in recent days. The surge in shutdown odds reflects a combination of stalled talks in Congress, unresolved disputes over Department of…