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Polymarket and Parcl Announce Partnership to Launch Real Estate Prediction Markets Powered by Parcl Indices

Parcl and Polymarket launch prediction markets based on daily housing price indices, enabling transparent trading on U.S. home price movements with clear, auditable settlements.

  • On Jan. 05, 2026 Parcl, the real-time housing data and onchain real estate platform, and Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, announced a partnership to launch real estate prediction markets using Parcl's daily housing price indices.
  • Housing market complexity has prompted the move, as housing is the largest asset class but expressing price direction is difficult without property-level complexity or long timelines.
  • Using standardized templates, the teams will launch markets referencing dedicated Parcl resolution pages with daily housing indices and settlement values, starting in high-liquidity U.S. metros.
  • Crypto traders can now bet on housing prices using Parcl's daily indices as settlement references, while Polymarket lets market participants express real-time housing-price views through open trading.
  • Past examples, including Betfair's 2008 and 2020 housing markets, have precedent, highlighting the evolving role of property forecasts in prediction markets, as Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl, said prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum.
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Prediction Markets Move Into Real Estate With Polymarket–Parcl Deal

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

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Benzinga broke the news in New York, United States on Monday, January 5, 2026.
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