Opinion polls see France's Le Pen winning 2027 election despite guilty verdict
The Ifop survey shows Le Pen ahead in every runoff test, with 984 registered voters questioned and a 54-46 lead over Édouard Philippe.
- National polls by Ifop and Toluna Harris Interactive show National Rally leader Marine Le Pen leading first-round voting intentions at 36%, with projections showing her winning every hypothetical run-off against potential opponents.
- Le Pen announced her candidacy on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, after a Paris appeals court reduced an election ban despite upholding her conviction for misusing European Parliament funds.
- Against Edouard Philippe, Le Pen secures 54 per cent in run-off scenarios, while maintaining a 36 per cent first-round lead ahead of Jean-Luc Melenchon and other candidates.
- Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure called Le Pen a "formidable candidate", though opponents criticized her decision to run given her legal conviction for misusing funds.
- The Cour de Cassation aims to deliver a final verdict on Le Pen's appeal before the April 18, 2027 election, which pollsters describe as a snapshot rather than a forecast.
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51 Articles
La Tercera
Polls suggest that, despite the court ruling and now that its intention to attend the April 2027 elections has been made public, Marine Le Pen would have 34% and 36% of the support, according to information collected by the newspaper Les Échos.
According to a poll commissioned by LCI at Ifop, the returnee of judicial cases would crush her competitors in 2027. This result, at least, is clear, unlike the bag of legal knots of her conviction by the Paris Court of Appeal.
Could Marine Le Pen win the elections in France? Today, polls point to yes, but there are nuances.
The right-wing leader was found guilty of embezzlement but can run for office in 2027
French Rightwing Leader Marine Le Pen Still Leading the Polls for Next Year’s Presidential Election, Despite Lawfare Conviction * The Gateway Pundit * by Paul Serran
The French people’s opinion, so far, is unmoved by the lawfare offensive against Le Pen. The post French Rightwing Leader Marine Le Pen Still Leading the Polls for Next Year’s Presidential Election, Despite Lawfare Conviction appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.
Le Pen frontrunner for French president – polls
The veteran politician has been cleared to contest next year’s election Veteran French politician Marine Le Pen is the early favorite to win France’s presidential election next year after an appeals court ruled her eligible to run, opinion polls suggest. Le Pen, the longtime figurehead of the right-wing National Rally (RN), reached the presidential runoff...
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Bias Distribution
- 54% of the sources lean Right
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