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Tropics Watch: Hurricane Center Eyes Tropical Wave as It Moves Across Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center assigns a 40% chance for the Atlantic disturbance to develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle amid peak hurricane season conditions.

  • The National Hurricane Center on Monday raised odds that a tropical disturbance off the western coast of Africa could develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle as soon as late this week or next weekend.
  • Warm waters and an active monsoon mean hostile winds may ease, and NOAA cites warmer sea surface temperatures plus an active West African monsoon, forecasting 13 to 18 named storms through November 30.
  • Forecasters note the disturbance is south of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving west to west-northwest at about 15 mph, while model guidance shows unusual agreement on timing and track, the FOX Forecast Center said.
  • NHC Deputy Director Jamie Rhome warned advisories will be issued early to help residents prepare, urging Lesser Antilles interests to monitor the system that could become Tropical Storm Gabrielle, the season's seventh cyclone.
  • As the season approaches its Sept. 10 peak, about 70% of activity occurs from September onward; some forecasts show Gabrielle curving northeast out to sea like Fernand, others keep it offshore of the U.S. Atlantic coast.
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WGNO broke the news in New Orleans, United States on Monday, September 1, 2025.
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