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NYC election update: What polls are saying about the mayor's race with a day to go

Zohran Mamdani leads with 43% support but Andrew Cuomo narrows gap to 33%, tightening the race to replace Mayor Eric Adams in New York City.

  • On Tuesday, Nov. 4, Zohran Mamdani leads in polls with 43% in the Oct. 29 Quinnipiac survey, Andrew Cuomo at 33% in New York City's mayoral race.
  • Recent polls show Andrew Cuomo, former New York governor, qualified as an independent and has narrowed the gap to single digits, according to Suffolk University poll.
  • Market odds and late surveys both signal Mamdani's advantage, with Polymarket showing a 95% chance, Kalshi 93%, and Oct. 24–28 polls placing him near the high 40s.
  • Turnout patterns from early voting, with about 400,000 ballots and voters 60 years of age and older making up most, could help Cuomo, experts say.
  • Political analyst Zach Fink said Monday, `I think we're going to know pretty soon how this shakes out for both cases`, as analysts watch whether Andrew Cuomo can close the remaining gap.
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AM New York broke the news in New York, United States on Sunday, November 2, 2025.
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