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Nvidia set for $320 billion price swing after earnings, options indicate

Options markets predict a 7% move in Nvidia stock, potentially shifting its market value by $320 billion, the largest post-earnings change for the AI chipmaker.

  • On Wednesday, Nvidia, the chipmaker, could see a $320 billion swing in market value after earnings, with options implying about a seven per cent move, Reuters and ORATS data show.
  • Investors will be parsing Nvidia's results for signs of waning demand amid a technology sector pullback and pressure from exits by Peter Thiel's hedge fund and SoftBank.
  • On average the stock moves 7.3% the day after results, ORATS shows, and the implied swing would surpass the $276 billion jump after February 2024 quarterly results as Nvidia's graphics processing units dominate AI training.
  • Chris Murphy said 'Nvidia’s impact goes far beyond the dollar swing' and emphasized 'As the anchor of the AI capex trade, its results will help define whether we’re in the next leg of expansion or entering digestion mode', with the narrative impact potentially spanning $10 trillion of correlated trades.
  • As a major S&P 500 constituent, its results will likely carry broader implications for business investment and AI-related spending trends, Jason Pride said, amplified by Nvidia's approximately eight per cent weighting in the S&P 500 Index.
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Channel News Asia broke the news in Singapore on Tuesday, November 18, 2025.
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