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No more blue wall, red wall: How electoral reform could stop regional election sweeps

Last month's Canadian federal election revealed significant regional distortions under the first-past-the-post system, especially in Alberta and Nova Scotia.
These distortions arise because parties can form governments with a small vote fraction by targeting key ridings, leading to monolithic regional strongholds.
MQO Research applied Brazil's proportional representation model to the election data, showing a more dispersed seat distribution without dominant party sweeps in provinces like Alberta and Nova Scotia.
For example, Alberta’s Liberals earned 28% of votes but only 5% of seats, yet under the Brazil model, they would have obtained 10 seats, while the Conservatives' seat count would reduce from 34 to 24.
These findings suggest electoral reform toward proportional representation could reduce regional political polarization and possibly ease Western alienation, though it would not resolve all underlying factors driving dissatisfaction.

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