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National and Labour Increase Support in Final 1News-Verian Poll Before Election

On Tuesday, November 03, 2026, the final Verian poll placed the National Party at 30%, narrowly leading the opposition Labour party, which rose to 29% just days before the New Zealand general election.
Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins are in a statistical dead heat, as the November 07, 2026, general election approaches. The contest remains tight, with the political landscape divided between the National and Labour parties.
Polling shows the Greens are up one point to 16%, while coalition partners ACT and New Zealand First both slipped to 10% and 8% respectively. "The centrist Opportunity party was unchanged at 6%."
Projections suggest the governing coalition of National, ACT, and New Zealand First would hold 58 seats, falling short of the 61 needed, which effectively makes the Opportunity Party the potential kingmaker.
As United States readers monitor the count from the early hours of Saturday, prediction markets on Polymarket currently place National’s chance of winning the most seats at 70%, compared to 27.5% for Labour.

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