US EditionNate Silver: Democrats Could Take Control of the Senate by 2028
- Democrats and Republicans are preparing for the 2028 presidential race with Democrats accelerating candidate activity while Republicans adopt a cautious wait-and-see approach, as of May 2025.
- This situation highlights Democrats’ proactive efforts to address the gap in leadership resulting from setbacks in the 2024 elections and their inconsistent reaction to the current administration, while Republicans remain cautious, awaiting direction from President Trump, particularly regarding support for Vice President JD Vance.
- Key Democratic figures like Maryland Governor Wes Moore have ruled out 2028 runs while others, including former Vice President Kamala Harris and governors JB Pritzker and Andy Beshear, are considering or positioning themselves, with many emerging events in early primary states like South Carolina.
- Republican strategist Alex Conant noted that most potential GOP candidates for 2028 are holding back to observe how much influence Trump will exert on the race, while GOP strategist Bill Stepien cautioned that campaigning early in key primary states might carry significant risks.
- The situation suggests a potentially wide-open Democratic primary and a subdued Republican field, with early jockeying among Democrats and cautious positioning on the GOP side likely shaping the 2028 contest's development.
10 Articles
10 Articles
Democrats race toward 2028 while Republicans take a wait-and-see approach
The 2028 presidential primary contests are still nearly three years away, but the early jockeying to replace President Donald Trump has already started in earnest — at least among Democrats.
Democrats kick off 2028 shadow primary with contrasting styles
The shadow Democratic presidential primary is kicking off, with potential contenders ramping up their appearances in key battleground states. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg is slated to take part in a VoteVets town hall in the early-contest state of Iowa on Tuesday, while Maryland Gov. Wes Moore (D) is set to headline the South Carolina…
Democrats Could Take Control of the Senate by 2028
Nate Silver: "Democrats clearly do have a pathway to a Senate majority in 2028. Republicans currently control 53 Senate seats, and Democrats 47. Between 2026 and 2028, there are three contests in highly competitive 2024 states — one each in North Carolina in 2026 and 2028, and then one in Wisconsi
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