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Most Albertans would vote to stay in Canada, 1-in-10 would leave: poll

The poll shows 57% of Albertans would definitely vote to stay, driven by Canadian identity and economic concerns amid ongoing separation debates.

  • A new survey of Albertans, conducted Feb. 2–6, 2026, found 65 per cent would vote or lean to stay in Canada, according to the Angus Reid Institute poll released Monday.
  • Provincial rule changes have eased referendum requirements, and the Alberta Prosperity Project's petition launched last month needs close to 178,000 signatures by May 2 to trigger a vote.
  • Support breaks down sharply by party; UCP voters are divided, with 16% definitely leaving and 41% leaning that way, while Alberta NDP voters overwhelmingly favour remaining, noted Kurl.
  • Most respondents believe that the United States would probably or definitely pressure a separated Alberta by political, economic, or military means, according to the poll.
  • The Angus Reid release is the first of a three-part series and arrives as petition drives and packed town halls have made headlines without convincing a majority to back separation.
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Angus Reid Institute broke the news in on Monday, February 9, 2026.
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