MLB hitters swinging at first pitches at highest rate since 1988
MLB hitters swing at first pitches 32.1% of the time, the highest rate since 1988, as pitchers' velocity and pitch variations create new offensive chances, experts say.
- MLB hitters are swinging at first pitches at a 32.1% rate in 2025, the highest since 32.6% in 1988, according to Sportradar.
- The recent rises come after a steady drop from 30% in 2001 down to 26% by 2010, which aligned with the Moneyball era's emphasis on improving on-base percentage and being patient at the plate.
- Players like Castellanos lead with a 56% first-pitch swing rate, while pitchers like Bryan Woo and Kevin Gausman throw many strikes to counter early attacks.
- Gausman noted that the 3-2 count consistently results in the highest rate of swings compared to other counts, a trend that remains unchanged, and he suggested that the pitch clock implemented before the 2023 season may encourage batters to prepare more quickly at the plate.
- This trend suggests a shift back toward aggressive hitting early in counts, influenced by advances in pitching velocity, pitch diversity, and changes in game pace.
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Coverage Details
Total News Sources27
Leaning Left6Leaning Right1Center14Last UpdatedBias Distribution67% Center
Bias Distribution
- 67% of the sources are Center
67% Center
L 29%
C 67%
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