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Fed Minutes: Uncertainty ‘Elevated’ as Risks of Higher Inflation and Unemployment Rise

  • The Federal Reserve released minutes on May 14, 2025, from its May 6-7 meeting showing officials kept the policy rate at 4.25%-4.5% amid rising economic uncertainty in Washington.
  • Officials faced increased risks of higher inflation and lower employment mainly due to President Trump's tariff increases and the resulting trade policy uncertainty.
  • Nearly all 19 officials saw inflation as potentially more persistent, while many emphasized a cautious wait-and-see approach on future interest rate changes until economic effects clarify.
  • The minutes indicated that officials noted a growing level of uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, amid ongoing concerns about inflation and trade policies related to the Fed's 2% inflation target.
  • The Fed's decision to hold rates suggests it will monitor trade and fiscal developments closely, delaying further easing until it sees clearer signs from the economy.
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Zawya broke the news in on Wednesday, May 28, 2025.
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