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Minnesota Budget Forecast: New Projected Balance Shows $1.3B Increase

Minnesota projects a $3.7 billion surplus for 2026-2027 but warns of long-term fiscal risks due to federal funding cuts and data uncertainties, officials said.

  • On Friday, Feb. 27, Minnesota Management and Budget released an updated forecast projecting a $3.7 billion surplus for the 2026-2027 budget cycle.
  • A sharp swing from last February shows a turnaround from a projected $6 billion shortfall, but MMB cautioned that spending growth outpaces revenue through FY 2029, leaving a structural imbalance.
  • Compared with November, the forecast shows February's surplus nearly $1.3 billion higher and the 2028-29 general fund balance now projected at $377 million.
  • Lawmakers and Gov. Tim Walz will use the updated forecast to guide decisions as the Minnesota Legislature session starts, with a 12:30 p.m. Friday briefing on bonding, Operation Metro Surge $50 million request, school safety and anti-fraud proposals.
  • Looking ahead, Medicaid and health-cost trends pose risks as federal government actions deferred nearly $260 million in payments amid a Medicaid fraud crisis and a months-long review of 14 high-risk Medicaid programs.
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MPR News broke the news in Saint Paul, United States on Friday, February 27, 2026.
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