Minnesota Budget Forecast: New Projected Balance Shows $1.3B Increase
Minnesota projects a $3.7 billion surplus for 2026-2027 but warns of long-term fiscal risks due to federal funding cuts and data uncertainties, officials said.
- On Friday, Feb. 27, Minnesota Management and Budget released an updated forecast projecting a $3.7 billion surplus for the 2026-2027 budget cycle.
- A sharp swing from last February shows a turnaround from a projected $6 billion shortfall, but MMB cautioned that spending growth outpaces revenue through FY 2029, leaving a structural imbalance.
- Compared with November, the forecast shows February's surplus nearly $1.3 billion higher and the 2028-29 general fund balance now projected at $377 million.
- Lawmakers and Gov. Tim Walz will use the updated forecast to guide decisions as the Minnesota Legislature session starts, with a 12:30 p.m. Friday briefing on bonding, Operation Metro Surge $50 million request, school safety and anti-fraud proposals.
- Looking ahead, Medicaid and health-cost trends pose risks as federal government actions deferred nearly $260 million in payments amid a Medicaid fraud crisis and a months-long review of 14 high-risk Medicaid programs.
26 Articles
26 Articles
What to make the of Minnesota's economic outlook in the age of Trump
Usually, the Minnesota Budget and Economic Outlook is a chart-laden oracle in PDF form, shaping the stories politicians tell about the state’s economy and determining how much the Legislature can spend on favored policies. But the outlook that Minnesota Management and Budget released Friday could be limited in how much it guides lawmakers who are juggling competing policy priorities and an upcoming election. On the surface, the forecast is pos…
Minnesota budget outlook improves: Near-term surplus grows to $3.7 billion, future deficit gone
ST. PAUL — Minnesota’s budget forecast shows an improved $3.7 billion surplus in the near term and a deficit for the next biennium squashed. The Friday, Feb. 27, numbers show what Minnesota Management and Budget (MMB) officials called a "slightly improved forecast" from the November forecast. November's forecast showed a $2.5 billion surplus for 2026-27 and a $2.96 billion deficit in 2028-29, now projected to be a $377 million general surplus. T…
Minnesota budget projection shows improving state finances, stronger national economy
Share This StoryA new state budget forecast shows Minnesota’s finances are improving, and the national economy is projected to grow more than previously estimated. However, some problems are still on the horizon for Minnesota’s state budget. Last December, Minnesota Management (MMB) announced that Minnesota had a projected $2.46 billion surplus for the current two-year budget cycle that runs through June of 2027. Despite this, MMB’s December for…
Minnesota budget projections improve by $1.3 billion
SAINT PAUL, Minn. – Minnesota’s Office of Management and Budget said the state’s budget outlook is $1.3 billion higher than November estimates. The fiscal year 2026-2027 projected balance is now at a surplus of $3.7 billion. “A slightly improved economic outlook drives a higher revenue forecast largely driven by more volatile sources of revenue,” Minnesota OMB officials said. However, Minnesota OMB reports spending growth outpaces revenue growth…
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