Marco Rubio, JD Vance Virtually Tied in 2028 Presidential Primary Poll
Rubio’s support has climbed 15 points since February, while Vance’s lead has vanished in a 432-voter Republican primary sample, Emerson said.
- Secretary of State Marco Rubio has climbed into a near tie with Vice President JD Vance in the early 2028 Republican presidential race, according to an Emerson College poll released Thursday showing Vance at 36 percent and Rubio at 35 percent.
- Since February, the Republican primary has "shifted significantly," with Vance's commanding 52 percent support eroding into a dead heat, Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball noted.
- Rubio dominates voters over 50 and Hispanic voters at 70 percent, while Vance leads younger Republicans with 37 percent, revealing stark demographic splits shaping the race.
- In a binary ballot test, Overton Insights shows Rubio ahead 42 percent to 36 percent, suggesting the Secretary of State holds a distinct advantage in direct matchups against Vance.
- Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley each registered just 5 percent, while neither Vance nor Rubio has officially declared a campaign for 2028.
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Vance, Rubio In Dead Heat In Hypothetical 2028 GOP Race
By Al Perrotta, The Daily Signal | May 28, 2026 Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are now locked in a virtual dead heat in a hypothetical 2028 GOP presidential primary matchup, according to a new poll from Emerson College Polling. The poll, which shows Rubio gaining ground since February in the hypothetical matchup, comes as Vance denies a report that he has become “isolated” in the White House and is considering not run…
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Foreign Minister Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance are in a May survey among Republican pre-election voters nationwide.
Republicans J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, as well as Democrat Pete Buttigieg, are the candidates with the greatest support for the 2028 elections.
New 2028 poll a massive downer for Vance, Newsom, Harris. But here’s who’s surging
A new poll on the 2028 presidential race is a massive downer for Republican and Democratic frontrunners alike. A new survey from Emerson College shows that Secretary of State Marco Rubio, with 35% support, is now effectively tied with the longtime presumptive GOP favorite, Vice President JD Vance, per the New York Post.
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