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Marco Rubio, JD Vance Virtually Tied in 2028 Presidential Primary Poll

Rubio’s support has climbed 15 points since February, while Vance’s lead has vanished in a 432-voter Republican primary sample, Emerson said.

  • Secretary of State Marco Rubio has climbed into a near tie with Vice President JD Vance in the early 2028 Republican presidential race, according to an Emerson College poll released Thursday showing Vance at 36 percent and Rubio at 35 percent.
  • Since February, the Republican primary has "shifted significantly," with Vance's commanding 52 percent support eroding into a dead heat, Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball noted.
  • Rubio dominates voters over 50 and Hispanic voters at 70 percent, while Vance leads younger Republicans with 37 percent, revealing stark demographic splits shaping the race.
  • In a binary ballot test, Overton Insights shows Rubio ahead 42 percent to 36 percent, suggesting the Secretary of State holds a distinct advantage in direct matchups against Vance.
  • Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley each registered just 5 percent, while neither Vance nor Rubio has officially declared a campaign for 2028.
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25 Articles

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Center

Foreign Minister Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance are in a May survey among Republican pre-election voters nationwide.

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Left

Republicans J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, as well as Democrat Pete Buttigieg, are the candidates with the greatest support for the 2028 elections.

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The Hill broke the news in Washington, United States on Thursday, May 28, 2026.
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