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Lander leading Goldman by huge margin in NYC House race: Poll

Lander gets 57% support in the poll, while 20% of likely voters remain undecided in the Democratic primary.

  • On Thursday, an Emerson College poll showed former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander leading Representative Dan Goldman 57 percent to 23 percent in the Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District.
  • New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's endorsement of Lander reflects growing momentum among progressive allies in recent congressional primaries, signaling potential shifts in political capital within the Democratic establishment.
  • Voters under 40 provide Lander's strongest support at 73 percent to 15 percent, while prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show 94 percent and 88 percent probabilities of him unseating Goldman.
  • The Goldman campaign disputed the poll's findings, stating "That's not what our data says" and citing an earlier Goldman-aligned super PAC poll showing a smaller lead for Lander.
  • Heading toward the June 23 primary, the Lander campaign emphasized it is "taking nothing for granted" and warned of threats including "a fascist in the White House.
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Bias Distribution

  • 59% of the sources lean Right
59% Right

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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, May 21, 2026.
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